Working papers
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​Artificial Intelligence and Inflation Forecasts
with Miguel Faria-e-Castro
Latest version: July 2023 [paper]
Firm Exit and Liquidity: Evidence from the Great Recession
with David Wiczer
Latest version: May 2023 [paper]
Navigating the Waves of Global Shipping: Drivers and Aggregate Implications
with Jason Dunn
Latest version: February 2023 [paper]
Shortages of Critical Goods in a Global Economy: Optimal Trade and Industrial Policy
with Ana Maria Santacreu
Latest version: February 2023 [paper]
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The Allocation of Immigrant Talent: Macroeconomic Implications for the U.S. and Across Countries
with Serdar Birinci and Kurt See
Latest version: June 2022 [paper]
​
International Trade Fluctuations and Monetary Policy
with Ana Maria Santacreu
Latest version: September 2015 [paper]
Work in progress
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International Trade Openness and the Cost of Sudden Stops
with David Kohn and Michal Szkup
Food Security in a Risky Globalized World
with Tasso Adamopoulos